{"id":48066,"date":"2026-10-16T09:52:30","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T09:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=48066"},"modified":"2026-10-16T09:52:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T09:52:30","slug":"this-bitcoin-cycle-theory-puts-350k-in-focus-before-the-next-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=48066","title":{"rendered":"This Bitcoin Cycle Theory Puts $350K in Focus Before the Next Crash"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<br \/><\/p>\n<p>Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland expects Bitcoin to exceed $250,000 this cycle and says a later 70% bear market would need a peak of $350,000 or more, even though BTC trades near $82,000 today.<\/p>\n<p>The case rests on a theory that this cycle runs eight years instead of four, which would put the top in 2028 and push the real downturn years out.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-case-for-an-eight-year-cycle\">The Case for an Eight-Year Cycle<\/h2>\n<p>In a set of posts on X, Hyland <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MatthewHyland_\/status\/2110894387064442999?s=20\">pointed<\/a> to a chart first shared on June 26 showing that the 2022-2026 stretch of bearish macro conditions, meaning the broader economic backdrop for risk assets, lasted twice as long as the 2014-2016 and 2018-2020 stretches.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s cycle follows that backdrop, in the analyst&#8217;s view, so it stretched by the same factor. This is not two four-year cycles stacked together, Hyland argues. It is one eight-year cycle, and the July 1 low landed in month 44, which leaves roughly 52 months to run.<\/p>\n<p>He also pointed to Bitcoin&#8217;s rise from roughly $69,000 to $125,000 as evidence that the current cycle still has room to run.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;BTC went from 69k to 125k. It is very likely it will exceed 250k+ which will further prove the 8-year timing,&#8221; the market watcher wrote.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Furthermore, Bitcoin dominance, meaning BTC&#8217;s share of the total crypto market, is elevated while altcoin dominance sits near a floor, the analyst noted. According to him, a typical mid-cycle correction and an ETH-BTC ratio that is not elevated fit the same pattern from 2016 and 2020, showing that the asset&#8217;s cycle timing has also doubled.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;Given the amount of support between 100k-125k going to $350k+ will be required to unlock a 70%+ bear market for Bitcoin,&#8221; he concluded.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 id=\"where-bitcoin-trades-now\">Where Bitcoin Trades Now<\/h2>\n<p>Market data at the time of writing showed BTC up about 1.5% in the last 24 hours but down 4.5% across two weeks. Its 30-day gain is 8%, against a 26% drop from a year ago, and the OG crypto is sitting 35% below its record of over $126,000. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance is above 57% and ETH holds 10.5%.<\/p>\n<p>As <em>CryptoPotato<\/em> reported earlier, BTC fell to a monthly low of $80,200 on Thursday after a rejection at $84,000, and total crypto market value <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/100b-gone-from-crypto-markets-as-btc-eth-xrp-nosedive-market-watch\/\">dropped<\/a> by more than $100 billion at one point. September inflation data that came in slightly above expectations <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/why-did-bitcoin-suddenly-crash-to-80k\/\">weighed<\/a> on prices, as did a slide in Asian stocks that left South Korea&#8217;s KOSPI down more than 18% in five days.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/this-bitcoin-cycle-theory-puts-350k-in-focus-before-the-next-crash\/\">This Bitcoin Cycle Theory Puts $350K in Focus Before the Next Crash<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/this-bitcoin-cycle-theory-puts-350k-in-focus-before-the-next-crash\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland expects Bitcoin to exceed $250,000 this cycle and says a later 70% bear market&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5375,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-crypto","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48066"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48066\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5375"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}