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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBitcoin has posted an August loss every year since 2022, giving traders another seasonal risk to consider.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) look set to finish July ahead of most major asset classes, with the former adding over 7% and the latter gaining almost 20% in the last 30 days.<\/p>\n
The performance adds to a month of recovery for the two largest cryptocurrencies after a difficult first half of 2026, although historical data suggests August has been a much tougher month for BTC.<\/p>\n
Data from CoinGlass at the time of writing showed that Ethereum had gained 19.5% during the month while Bitcoin had risen 7.37%. Meanwhile, a comparison by analyst Ash Crypto across major markets showed<\/a> chip stocks fell 22% in the same period, with the Nasdaq 100 and the Russell 2000 slipping by 9% and 3%, respectively.<\/p>\n The S&P 500 also fell, but its decline was much smaller than that of its counterparts, at about 1%. Silver dropped by 2.64%, but gold was little changed, adding just 0.38% to its value over 30 days.<\/p>\n What makes the gains by the cryptocurrencies noteworthy is that before July, they had endured a rough 2026. CoinGlass data shows BTC fell more than 10% in January, as it continued a red run that had started in October 2025. That sequence continued into February, when the OG crypto lost almost 15%, before reprieves in March and April. May registered a -3.41% return and June recorded the worst drop of the year so far when the asset lost over 20% of its worth.<\/p>\n Ethereum\u2019s first two quarterly performances were just as bad, with Q1 returns at -21.26% and those for Q2 at -25.28%.<\/p>\n Recall that BTC started July trading near $58,000 but gradually climbed the chart, hitting a monthly high near $67,000 last week before price action started cooling somewhat. It was pretty much the same with ETH, as CoinGecko data shows it kicking off the month near $1,500 and eventually ending up very close to $2,000 as July drew to a close.<\/p>\n At the time of writing, the world\u2019s second-largest cryptocurrency was changing hands just above $1,900, having shed about 1% in the last seven days. However, despite the good monthly run, it\u2019s still more than 50% lower than where it was a year ago and about 61% away from its August 2025 all-time high. Bitcoin, on its part, has settled near $64,000, which is almost half of its own ATH, after shrugging<\/a> off the slight volatility that came with yesterday\u2019s decision by the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged.<\/p>\n While July brought relief for crypto investors, CoinGlass data points to a recurring seasonal pattern. Every August since 2022 has ended with Bitcoin posting a monthly loss, including declines of 6.49% in 2025, 8.6% in 2024, 11.29% in 2023 and 13.88% in 2022.<\/p>\n That backdrop has kept analysts divided on what comes next, with Ali Martinez forecasting<\/a> that Bitcoin\u2019s bear market could last until October, while traders Pepesso and Crypto Lens expect another move lower before a broader recovery begins in 2027.<\/p>\nYou may also like:<\/h3>\n
August Record Keeps Traders Cautious<\/h2>\n
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