{"id":43825,"date":"2026-05-14T10:19:36","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T10:19:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=43825"},"modified":"2026-05-14T10:19:36","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T10:19:36","slug":"u-s-consumer-sentiment-hits-new-lows-amid-inflation-and-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=43825","title":{"rendered":"U.S. consumer sentiment hits new lows amid inflation and war"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108306576\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108306576\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000412865\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/08\/affirm-ceo-american-consumer-unbelievably-resilient.html\">American consumers<\/a> have been pessimistic for so long that now <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/12\/cpi-inflation-april-2026-.html\">economists<\/a> are wondering when \u2014 or even if \u2014 households will ever feel financially better off.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lsa.umich.edu\/src\/research-centers\/surveys-of-consumers.html\" target=\"_blank\">The University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers<\/a>, a closely-watched bellwether, hit all-time lows in May, according to a preliminary reading released last week. That is just one of several consumer opinion surveys showing Americans have never regained confidence in the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/economy\/\">economy<\/a> since the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/coronavirus\/\">Covid-19<\/a> pandemic struck more than six years ago.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Economists told CNBC that consumers remain scarred from years of rapid price increases, even as the annual <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=inflation+cnbc&amp;rlz=1C1GCEB_enUS1193US1194&amp;oq=inflation+cnbc&amp;gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqDggAEEUYJxg7GIAEGIoFMg4IABBFGCcYOxiABBiKBTIICAEQABgWGB4yCAgCEAAYFhgeMggIAxAAGBYYHjIICAQQABgWGB4yBggFEEUYPDIGCAYQRRg8MgYIBxBFGDzSAQgyNTMxajBqN6gCALACAA&amp;sourceid=chrome&amp;ie=UTF-8\" target=\"_blank\">inflation<\/a> rate cools. On top of that, Americans are worn out by a salvo of economic disruptions \u2014 from Covid to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/wars-and-military-conflicts\/\">wars<\/a> to President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump<\/a>&#8216;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/08\/trump-tariffs-trade-eu-europe-deal.html\">tariffs<\/a> \u2014 that have defined the current decade.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a series of shocks,&#8221; said Yelena Shulyatyeva, senior economist at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conference-board.org\/topics\/consumer-confidence\/\" target=\"_blank\">Conference Board<\/a>, which conducts another popular gauge of economic confidence. &#8220;Consumers don&#8217;t get a break.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<h3 id=\"price-level-pain\" class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">Price level pain<\/h3>\n<p>Economists and monetary policymakers typically track the rate of inflation over a 12-month timeframe. By that measure, price growth is closer to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/federal-reserve\/\">Federal Reserve<\/a>&#8216;s target of 2% than to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/07\/14\/us-inflation-jumped-by-9point1percent-in-june-a-four-decade-high-heres-what-you-need-to-know-about-inflation.html\">four-decade highs<\/a> seen during the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>But shoppers have focused on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/12\/25\/inflation-has-created-a-dark-cloud-over-how-everyday-americans-view-the-economy.html\">cumulative change in prices <\/a>over the past several years. From that vantage point, Cleveland Fed President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/15\/cleveland-fed-president-hammack-expects-interest-rates-to-stay-on-hold-for-a-good-while.html\">Beth Hammack<\/a> told CNBC, there&#8217;s been about a decade&#8217;s worth of inflation in half the time.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108291699\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108291699\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000409741\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108291700-17762575241776257519-45279427780-1080pnbcnews.jpg?v=1776257523&amp;w=750&amp;h=422&amp;vtcrop=y\" alt=\"Watch CNBC&#x2019;s full interview with Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack\"\/><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>&#8220;People are starting to hear that inflation is going down, but their box of cereal is still really expensive,&#8221; said<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2026\/02\/09\/why-prediction-markets-are-becoming-more-appealing-than-crypto.html\"> Kyla Scanlon<\/a>, an economic commentator known for coining the term <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/10\/america-vibecession-deepening-financial-security-falls.html\">&#8220;vibecession.&#8221; <\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That feels really, really bad,&#8221; Scanlon said.<\/p>\n<p>High prices have caused most of the decline in consumer sentiment between 2019 and 2026, according to a data analysis from <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-17\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/PNC\/\">PNC Financial Services<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span>. Sticker shock also explains why a model of economic conditions stopped moving in line with consumer sentiment over recent years, the bank&#8217;s analysis said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Consumers are thinking more about the role of inflation in their lives. The share of respondents to Michigan&#8217;s survey who said they heard negative news about price growth or blamed that for their sour outlooks spiked after the pandemic began in 2020. <\/p>\n<p><span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-18\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/GOOGL\/\">Google<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> searches for the term &#8220;inflation&#8221; hit all-time highs earlier this year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;No one cared about inflation until it became a problem,&#8221; said Brian LeBlanc, PNC&#8217;s senior economist. &#8220;Now, it&#8217;s something that everybody in the country is thinking about.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<h3 id=\"one-shock-after-another\" class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">One shock after another<\/h3>\n<p>There&#8217;s another reason economists believe confidence hasn&#8217;t rebounded: Consumers don&#8217;t have enough time to recover from one economic jolt before another raises its head.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I can&#8217;t think of a period where you&#8217;ve had shocks like these,&#8221; said Eric Winograd, an alumnus of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, who is now the chief economist at AllianceBernstein, an asset manager. &#8220;I&#8217;m not saying that these are the biggest in magnitude, but to have this many sequential events is extremely unusual.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>For sentiment to recover, U.S. consumers would need to see &#8220;positive&#8221; and &#8220;stable&#8221; economic conditions for several quarters, Georgetown University finance professor Francesco D&#8217;Acunto said. Instead of that, as geopolitical conflicts break out and as President Trump continues his push for higher tariffs on trade partners, consumers have been getting &#8220;the opposite,&#8221; D&#8217;Acunto said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote data-test=\"Pullquote\">\n<div class=\"Pullquote-pullquote\" style=\"border-top-color:#002f6c\">\n<div>\n<p>I can&#8217;t think of a period where you&#8217;ve had shocks like these.<\/p>\n<div class=\"Pullquote-sourceWrapper\">\n<p>Eric Winograd<\/p>\n<p>AllianceBernstein chief economist<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>The plunge in sentiment mirrors trends in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.norc.org\/content\/dam\/norc-org\/pdfs\/Historic%20Shift%20in%20Americans%20Happiness%20Amid%20Pandemic.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">reported happiness<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/corruption-index\" target=\"_blank\">trust in public institutions<\/a> seen this decade.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Consumer sentiment isn&#8217;t the only thing that really breaks around the pandemic,&#8221; said Joanne Hsu, the director of Michigan&#8217;s survey.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"open-wallets\" class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">Open wallets<\/h3>\n<p>But despite <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/18\/boomcession-econonomy-gdp-recession-consumer-sentiment.html\">what they tell pollsters, <\/a>consumers, broadly speaking, have continued to open their wallets with abandon. <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-22\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/UBER\/\">Uber<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> and <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-23\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/DIS\/\">Walt Disney<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> last week reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/06\/uber-and-disney-are-seeing-the-same-remarkable-dynamic-in-this-economy-both-stocks-are-surging.html\">strong customer spending<\/a>, defying fears that shoppers would tighten their purse strings in response to price increases.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The traditional correlation between sentiment and spending has largely broken down,&#8221; said Gregory Daco, chief economist at consulting firm EY-Parthenon. &#8220;We have to depart a little bit from the traditional analysis of these gauges because of the unique circumstances that we&#8217;re currently living through.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>As a result, AllianceBernstein&#8217;s Winograd said investors looking for a pulse check on consumers should monitor the direction of confidence indexes rather than pre-pandemic comparisons. Consumer opinion is still a low-tier economic data point for traders making investment decisions, he said.<\/p>\n<p>The <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-25\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.SPX\/\">S&amp;P 500<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> reached an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/07\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\">all-time high<\/a> on the same day last week that Michigan released its record-low consumer sentiment reading. The benchmark stock index has more than doubled, surging roughly 130%, since the start of 2020, while Michigan&#8217;s sentiment gauge has been cut in half, tumbling 52%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If this is the new normal, then this is the new normal,&#8221; Winograd said. &#8220;The question is: Are things getting better or worse?&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<h3 id=\"a-resilient-consumer\" class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">A &#8216;resilient&#8217; consumer<\/h3>\n<p>In the near-term, sentiment is unlikely to improve as oil prices stay above $100 a barrel in the wake of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/11\/iran-war-trump-negotiation-hormuz-nuclear-talks.html\">Iran War<\/a>, several economists told CNBC.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/gasprices.aaa.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">national average price <\/a>for a gallon of gasoline soared past $4 per gallon, the level at which a <a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.aaa.com\/2022\/03\/aaa-4-gas-the-tipping-point-for-most-americans\/\" target=\"_blank\">2022 AAA survey<\/a> found that a majority of Americans implement lifestyle changes. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2026\/02\/18\/gas-buddys-patrick-de-haan-talks-if-california-could-run-out-of-gas.html\">Gasbuddy<\/a>, a price tracking platform, said its daily active user base nearly doubled in March as the war ramped up.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-31\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/WHR\/\">Whirlpool<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> said last week that it experienced a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/07\/whirlpool-says-iran-war-causing-recession-level-industry-decline-the-shares-are-down-20percent.html\">&#8220;recession-level&#8221; decline<\/a> in appliance demand due to cratering consumer confidence owing to the Middle East conflict. <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-33\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/MCD\/\">McDonald&#8217;s<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> CEO Chris Kempczinski warned analysts that customer spending <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/07\/mcdonalds-mcd-q1-2026-earnings.html\">could take a hit<\/a> as rising gas prices pressure pocketbooks.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-108300126\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<p>Gas prices over $6.00 are displayed at a Shell station across from the Marathon Petroleum Corp&#8217;s Los Angeles Refinery on April 02, 2026 in Carson, California. <\/p>\n<p>Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>What happens next in the job market can also dictate consumers&#8217; feelings and behavior, Winograd said. Federal government data released last week showed the U.S. job market <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/08\/jobs-report-april-2026.html\">expanded more<\/a> than economists expected in April, while still pointing to a &#8220;low-hire, low-fire&#8221; environment.<\/p>\n<p>But even with these uncertainties and their gloomy views, American consumers \u2014 responsible for roughly two thirds of all economic activity \u2014 are unlikely to crack, Winograd said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a foolish man who bets against the U.S. consumer,&#8221; the economist said. &#8220;The base case has to be that the consumer continues to plug along.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108304302\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108304302\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000412393\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108304303-17782490121778249010-45792906873-1080pnbcnews.jpg?v=1778249011&amp;w=750&amp;h=422&amp;vtcrop=y\" alt=\"May consumer sentiment comes in at 48.2, falling short of estimates\"\/><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceContainer\" data-module=\"GooglePreferredSource\" data-id=\"RegularArticle-GooglePreferredSource-5\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/14\/consumer-confidence-us-economy-inflation-iran-war-trade.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"American consumers have been pessimistic for so long that now economists are wondering when \u2014 or even if&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":43826,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43825"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43825\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/43826"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}