{"id":42068,"date":"2026-03-12T17:46:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T17:46:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=42068"},"modified":"2026-03-12T17:46:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T17:46:24","slug":"iran-war-heightens-affordability-issues-ahead-of-march-fed-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=42068","title":{"rendered":"Iran war heightens affordability issues ahead of March Fed meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108277085\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108277085\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000406395\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Amid a war in Iran, inflation\u00a0pressures, a weakening job market and <strong>an<\/strong> uncertain outlook for tariff policy, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/federal-reserve\/\">Federal Reserve<\/a> officials will meet next week and announce a decision on interest rates. <\/p>\n<p>The federal funds rate, set by the Federal Open Market Committee, is the rate at which banks lend to one another overnight, but it also has a trickle-down effect on many consumer\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/01\/30\/how-interest-rates-have-changed-over-the-last-12-months.html\">borrowing and savings rates<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For now,\u00a0experts think the central bank will stay on hold. Futures market pricing is implying\u00a0almost no chance of a rate cut, according to the CME Group\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=\/trading\/interest-rates\/countdown-to-fomc.html\" target=\"_blank\">FedWatch<\/a>\u00a0gauge.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFed officials will sit on their hands until they get some clarity around how the war with Iran is playing out and which of its mandates, low and stable inflation or full-employment, is most in jeopardy,\u201d said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody\u2019s. \u201cThat could take weeks, if not two to three months.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For consumers caught in the crosshairs, that means there will be little relief to come.\u00a0\u201cAnyone expecting the Fed to ride in and save the day anytime soon is likely going to be disappointed,\u201d said Matt Schulz, chief credit\u00a0analyst at LendingTree.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-relatedContent\" id=\"RegularArticle-RelatedContent-1\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-container\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-nonCollapsibleContent\">\n<h2 id=\"read-more-cnbc-personal-finance-coverage\" class=\"RelatedContent-header\">Read more CNBC personal finance coverage<\/h2>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/12\/iran-war-fed.html\">Iran war heightens affordability issues ahead of the Fed\u2019s March meeting<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/12\/spousal-ira-save-for-retirement.html\">Couples often miss this \u2018overlooked tax break\u2019 for retirement savers: CFP<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/12\/student-loan-oversight-trump-gao.html\">Trump administration has scaled back oversight of student loan servicers: GAO<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/11\/social-security-cola-oil-prices.html\">Social Security 2027 COLA forecast may rise with high oil prices<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/11\/personal-loan-credit-card-debt-consolidation.html\">You can\u2019t \u2018borrow your way out of debt,\u2019 expert says, but more people are trying<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/11\/cpi-inflation-february-2026-breakdown.html\">Here\u2019s the inflation breakdown for February 2026 \u2014 in one chart<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/10\/save-plan-for-student-loan-borrowers-is-over-federal-appeals-court-.html\">SAVE plan used by millions of student loan borrowers is over, court orders<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/10\/identity-theft-taxes.html\">Identity theft and your taxes: It\u2019s \u2018a terrible reverse lottery,\u2019 one victim says<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/10\/iran-war-spikes-oil-prices-consumers.html\">As Iran war disrupts oil prices, consumers could be \u2018hammered,\u2019 economist says<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/09\/million-dollar-earners-social-security-2026.html\">Million-dollar earners have already stopped paying into Social Security for 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/09\/k-shaped-economy-women.html\">Women and the K-shaped economy: Lower pay, affordability issues reduce spending<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/09\/401k-auto-portability-roth.html\">Small 401(k) accounts may follow workers to their next job \u2014 except Roth money<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/08\/jobs-apocalypse-ai-proof-skilled-trades.html\">In a jobs apocalypse, look to \u2018AI-proof\u2019 skilled trades, career experts say<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/07\/median-income-households-buying-power.html\">Middle-income homebuyers have $30,000 more buying power than a year ago<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/06\/average-irs-tax-refund.html\">Average IRS tax refund is up 10.6%, early filing data shows<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/10\/01\/best-financial-advisors.html\">CNBC\u2019s Financial Advisor 100: Best financial advisors, top firms ranked<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>In the meantime, \u201cthe attack on Iran has made life more expensive and more uncertain for American households,\u201d said Brett House, an economics professor at Columbia Business School. \u201cOil and gasoline\u00a0prices have shot up, as have the yields on 10-year Treasuries, which are the benchmark for mortgage rates.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The consumer price index, or CPI, a key measure of inflation, rose 2.4% in February from a year earlier, according to the latest reading by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But that was before the <a href=\"https:\/\/bwt3-my.sharepoint.com\/personal\/206474616_bwt3_com\/Documents\/CNBC\/108275343\" target=\"_blank\">Iran war<\/a>, which caused energy prices to spike, feeding into longer-term <a href=\"https:\/\/bwt3-my.sharepoint.com\/personal\/206474616_bwt3_com\/Documents\/CNBC\/10000793\" target=\"_blank\">inflation fears<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Higher oil prices could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/11\/cpi-inflation-report-february-2026.html\">complicate the inflation picture<\/a> in the months ahead, economists say, as those increases filter through to airfares, shipping and other costs.\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@LCO.1\/\">Brent crude futures<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/12\/oil-prices-jump-iea-record-reserve-release-markets-doubt-relief.html\">briefly hit $100<\/a> a barrel again on Thursday, and the national average <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/oil-gas\/\">gasoline<\/a>\u00a0price climbed to $3.59 a gallon, up 22% from a month ago, according to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/gasprices.aaa.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">AAA<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Inflationary pressures in the wake of the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/02\/us-iran-live-updates-trump-oil-gold.html\">joint U.S.-Israel strike<\/a> also pushed the yield on the benchmark <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-12\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/US10Y\/\">10-year Treasury<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> \u2014 the barometer for mortgage rates \u2014 up to 4.173%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNothing about this war is making life more affordable for average Americans,\u201d House said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2 id=\"the-rockets-and-feathers-effect\" class=\"ArticleBody-subtitle\"><a id=\"headline0\"\/>The \u2018rockets and feathers\u2019 effect<\/h2>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108276582\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108276582\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000406273\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108276583-17732324731773232471-44500493572-1080pnbcnews.jpg?v=1773232472&w=750&h=422&vtcrop=y\" alt=\"Consumer prices rose 2.4% annually in February, as expected\"\/><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Even if the war ends \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/09\/trump-iran-war-end.html\">very soon<\/a>,\u201d as President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump<\/a> has said, and those spikes prove short-lived, when oil prices fall, gasoline prices may come down more slowly. <\/p>\n<p>Economists call this the \u201crockets and feathers\u201d effect, according to a Thursday research note by Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University and chief economist at SS Economics. \u201cGasoline prices shoot up like a rocket but float down like a feather,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n<p>Because fuel distributors buy gas from refineries and store it before selling it to consumers, they may still be unloading inventory purchased at higher prices long after crude supplies have stabilized. \u201cUntil that inventory is replaced with cheaper fuel, prices at the pump tend to fall gradually rather than immediately,\u201d Sohn wrote.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Even before the expanding\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/us-news\/\">U.S<\/a>. war in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/access-middle-east\/\">Middle East<\/a>\u00a0fueled inflation fears, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/12\/26\/how-americans-are-responding-to-the-affordability-crisis.html\">high cost of living<\/a>\u00a0and a softening\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/jobs\/\">labor market<\/a> had created an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/12\/24\/affordability-is-a-buzzword-right-now-these-charts-show-why.html\">affordability crunch<\/a>\u00a0for many U.S. households. <\/p>\n<p>The U.S. economy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/06\/february-2026-jobs-report.html\">lost jobs<\/a> in February, and the unemployment rate edged up to 4.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department are likely examining options to ease the burden on households, though the available tools are limited,\u201d said certified financial planner Stephen Kates, a financial analyst at Bankrate.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Federal Reserve\u2019s task has become more complicated,\u201d Kates said.\u00a0\u201cAlthough the labor market showed signs of weakness in February, concerns about accelerating inflation are likely to keep the Fed from cutting rates at either of the next two meetings.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/CNBC?sub_confirmation=1\" target=\"_blank\"><em><strong>Subscribe to CNBC on YouTube.<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceContainer\" data-module=\"GooglePreferredSource\" data-id=\"RegularArticle-GooglePreferredSource-5\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/12\/iran-war-fed.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Amid a war in Iran, inflation\u00a0pressures, a weakening job market and an uncertain outlook for tariff policy, 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