{"id":41569,"date":"2026-02-27T13:23:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T13:23:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=41569"},"modified":"2026-02-27T13:23:46","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T13:23:46","slug":"trump-said-tariffs-could-substantially-replace-income-taxes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=41569","title":{"rendered":"Trump said tariffs could &#8216;substantially replace&#8217; income taxes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-108269667\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<p>U.S. President Donald J. Trump delivers the first State of the Union address of his second term to a joint session of Congress in the House Chamber of the United States Capitol in Washington, D.C., U.S.,on Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Kenny Holston | The New York Times | Via Reuters<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Amid <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/26\/trump-state-of-the-union-supreme-court-tariffs-trade-deals-ieepa-section-301-232-122.html\">tariff uncertainty<\/a>, President\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump<\/a> this week <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/22\/trump-tariffs-replace-income-tax.html\">revisited the idea<\/a> of using tariff revenue to help offset <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/taxes\/\">income taxes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;As time goes by, I believe the tariffs paid for by foreign countries will, like in the past, substantially replace the modern-day system of income tax,&#8221; Trump said during his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/videos\/president-donald-j-trumps-2026-state-of-the-union-address\/\" target=\"_blank\">State of the Union address<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s an idea Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/06\/13\/trump-all-tariff-policy-to-replace-income-tax.html\">previously floated<\/a> during his 2024 presidential campaign and has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/22\/trump-tariffs-replace-income-tax.html\">revisited while in office<\/a>. Federal income tax changes would require Congressional action.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, some policy experts say they are skeptical.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;To put it simply, the math just doesn&#8217;t work,&#8221; said Alex Durante, a senior economist at the Tax Foundation, a nonprofit tax policy think tank. The organization has analyzed <a href=\"https:\/\/taxfoundation.org\/research\/all\/federal\/trump-tariffs-trade-war\/\" target=\"_blank\">Trump&#8217;s tariff policy<\/a>, including whether it could <a href=\"https:\/\/taxfoundation.org\/blog\/trump-income-tax-tariff-proposals\/\" target=\"_blank\">replace income tax<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-relatedContent\" id=\"RegularArticle-RelatedContent-1\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-container\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-nonCollapsibleContent\">\n<h2 id=\"read-more-cnbc-personal-finance-coverage\" class=\"RelatedContent-header\">Read more CNBC personal finance coverage<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>While tariffs were the main source of U.S. revenue during the 19th century, &#8220;the government was much smaller,&#8221; according to Durante. <\/p>\n<p>During that period, <a href=\"https:\/\/taxfoundation.org\/blog\/trump-income-tax-tariff-proposals\/\" target=\"_blank\">federal government spending<\/a> was slightly above 2% of gross domestic product, compared to nearly 23% in 2023, according to the Tax Foundation&#8217;s 2025 analysis.   <\/p>\n<p>White House spokesman Kush Desai told CNBC in an email that &#8220;President Trump did not say that the current tariff regime can replace federal income taxes. He simply reiterated his belief that a robust tariff policy could \u2014 as it did for much of American history \u2014 fully fund the federal government.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s remarks came days after the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/20\/supreme-court-trump-tariffs-ruling.html\">Supreme Court struck down a large chunk of his tariff agenda<\/a>. The Trump administration Department of Justice faces a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/26\/trump-tariff-refunds-doj-court-deadline.html\">big tariff refund court deadline<\/a> on Friday. But it&#8217;s unclear whether <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/23\/fedex-trump-trade-tariffs-refunds-supreme-court-lawsuit.html\">importers could see refunds<\/a> from the billions in levies collected via Trump&#8217;s higher rates. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2 id=\"how-tariff-revenue-compares-to-income-taxes\" class=\"ArticleBody-subtitle\"><a id=\"headline0\"\/>How tariff revenue compares to income taxes<\/h2>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s completely implausible that tariffs can replace the modern system of income tax,&#8221; said Kimberly Clausing, a nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a nonprofit think tank. &#8220;They&#8217;re way too small.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Clausing co-authored a 2024 report on the topic, which <a href=\"https:\/\/www.piie.com\/blogs\/realtime-economics\/2024\/can-trump-replace-income-taxes-tariffs?__cf_chl_tk=Isl9pylFjbkasySDSbaFqulotwS0lAFJkUHSPxILh58-1738697246-1.0.1.1-W_Ilq8fgD1aYWwhoAeCvsOSOvvGWbuH5jqwibjJpOkw\" target=\"_blank\">compared the tax base<\/a> from both types of revenue. In 2023, the U.S. imported $3.1 trillion of goods and levied tax on\u00a0more than $20 trillion\u00a0in income, she wrote.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>During fiscal year 2025, the federal government <a href=\"https:\/\/fiscaldata.treasury.gov\/americas-finance-guide\/government-revenue\/\" target=\"_blank\">collected roughly $2.66 trillion<\/a> from individual income taxes, which was nearly 51% of total revenue, according to Treasury data. By comparison, customs duties were about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiscal.treasury.gov\/files\/reports-statements\/mts\/mts0925.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">$195 billion<\/a> the same year, the Treasury reported.<\/p>\n<p>As of Jan. 31, the federal government has received about <a href=\"https:\/\/fiscaldata.treasury.gov\/americas-finance-guide\/government-revenue\/\" target=\"_blank\">$924 billion in individual income taxes<\/a> during fiscal year 2026, which began Oct. 1, compared to roughly $118 billion from customs duties, according to the Treasury.<\/p>\n<p>Even if Trump&#8217;s tariffs reached a &#8220;revenue maximizing level&#8221; of more than 40%, the levies would raise less than one-fifth of individual income taxes collected, Clausing told CNBC.<\/p>\n<p>Tariffs that high would be &#8220;ruinous for the economy,&#8221; with other negative effects, including fewer imports, which would impact that revenue, she said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108265885\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108265885\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000403982\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/27\/trump-tariffs-income-taxes.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"U.S. President Donald J. Trump delivers the first State of the Union address of his second term to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":41570,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-41569","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-investing","8":"cs-entry","9":"cs-video-wrap"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41569","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=41569"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41569\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/41570"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=41569"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=41569"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=41569"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}