{"id":39380,"date":"2025-12-19T11:46:21","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T11:46:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=39380"},"modified":"2025-12-19T11:46:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T11:46:21","slug":"bitcoin-is-not-crashing-its-coiling-analyst-predicts-massive-btc-breakout-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=39380","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Is Not Crashing, It\u2019s Coiling: Analyst Predicts Massive BTC Breakout Next"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<br \/><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin had a phenomenal year that started after 2024&#8217;s US presidential elections and culminated in early October with a surge to a new all-time high of over $126,000. The asset also spent several consecutive months within a six-digit price territory, and it enjoyed a healthy demand for the spot Bitcoin ETFs alongside different sorts of adoption.<\/p>\n<p>However, the landscape since that aforementioned new peak has been quite different. Its price tumbled by over 30% and sits well below $90,000 as of press time. As such, the sentiment has flipped to mostly bearish, with numerous analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-btc-has-entered-a-bearish-phase-structural-indicators-confirm\/\">calling<\/a> for the start of a new such phase. Merlijn The Trader, though, sees things differently.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">BREAKING:<\/p>\n<p>THIS ISN\u2019T A CRASH.<br \/>\nIT\u2019S A COIL.<\/p>\n<p>Raoul Pal just spelled it out:<\/p>\n<p>The old 4-year halving cycle is over.<br \/>\nWe\u2019re in a liquidity-driven supercycle.<\/p>\n<p>For 15 years the script was simple:<br \/>\nHalving. Supply shock. Retail mania. Top. Winter.<\/p>\n<p>That ended when $125B+ ETFs,\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zlwY1jQ5Lv\">pic.twitter.com\/zlwY1jQ5Lv<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/2001970780255506601?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 19, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 id=\"coiling-not-crashing\">Coiling, Not Crashing<\/h2>\n<p>Citing a recent interview by Raoul Pal, in which he argued that the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/is-bitcoin-entering-a-supercycle-heres-why-this-one-looks-different\/\">four-year cycle narrative is over<\/a> and BTC is now driven by liquidity as it explains 90% of its price action, Merlijn explained that the asset&#8217;s initial phase has ended when ETFs, sovereigns, and macro funds turned it into a global commodity.<\/p>\n<p>Further, both noted that they aim to trade liquidity, not calendars, and outlined the significant changes coming for next year:<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Business cycle bottoming<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Fiscal stimulus loading<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Global money printer warming up<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Institutions forced to chase<\/p>\n<p>Merlijn concluded that corrections are not the end of the bull markets anymore: instead, he called them &#8220;slingshots.&#8221; Consequently, he warned traders that they need to adapt to the new BTC cycle version:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;Trade like it\u2019s the old cycle that no longer exists.<\/p>\n<p>Or position for the exponential curve already in motion.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 id=\"600k-in-2026\">$600K in 2026?<\/h2>\n<p>Given the price movements over the past couple of months, it&#8217;s difficult to speculate about massive increases in 2026. However, pseudonymous analyst Wise Crypto recently did that and <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/analyst-fed-policy-and-midterms-could-drive-bitcoin-to-600k-in-2026\/\">highlighted<\/a> a mindblowing target of up to $600,000 next year if all factors align in a perfect crypto storm.<\/p>\n<p>Some of those include the highly anticipated end to the Fed&#8217;s quantitative tightening, additional rate cuts, improving short-term liquidity through Treasury bill support, and the US mid-term election cycle, all of which should lean in favor of risk assets.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-is-not-crashing-its-coiling-analyst-predicts-massive-btc-breakout-next\/\">Bitcoin Is Not Crashing, It&#8217;s Coiling: Analyst Predicts Massive BTC Breakout Next<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-is-not-crashing-its-coiling-analyst-predicts-massive-btc-breakout-next\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin had a phenomenal year that started after 2024&#8217;s US presidential elections and culminated in early October with&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":34695,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-crypto","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=39380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39380\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/34695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=39380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=39380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=39380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}