{"id":38015,"date":"2025-11-12T18:16:16","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T18:16:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=38015"},"modified":"2025-11-12T18:16:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T18:16:16","slug":"bull-run-thesis-to-be-validated-if-eth-reclaims-this-key-resistance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=38015","title":{"rendered":"Bull Run Thesis to Be Validated if ETH Reclaims This Key Resistance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Ethereum is once again testing critical support after failing to maintain momentum above the $3.6K zone. Current market positioning suggests that the recent bounce may have been a short-term corrective move within a broader consolidation phase.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"technical-analysis\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>By Shayan<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"the-daily-chart\">The Daily Chart<\/h3>\n<p>On the daily timeframe, ETH remains confined within a descending parallel channel, and the ongoing rejections from the upper and middle boundaries confirm the pattern\u2019s ongoing dominance. The price failed to sustain above the $3.6K\u2013$3.7K resistance block, leading to renewed selling pressure as it retests the channel\u2019s lower boundary and the 200-day moving average (around $3.3K).<\/p>\n<p>This zone now forms the immediate battleground between bulls and bears. A clean close below the 200-day MA could expose ETH to a deeper retest of the $3.0K\u2013$3.1K demand zone, where a more significant liquidity pocket awaits.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, reclaiming $3.6K would revalidate the bullish recovery structure, potentially opening the path toward $3.9K\u2013$4.0K, where major unmitigated supply sits. Momentum, measured through RSI, has dropped below the 50 midline, reflecting deteriorating short-term strength and signalling caution until the structure stabilises.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETH-D-1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"the-4-hour-chart\">The 4-Hour Chart<\/h3>\n<p>On the lower timeframe, ETH recently broke below a local ascending channel, confirming short-term weakness and the likelihood of another leg lower. The $3.45K\u2013$3.5K area, which previously acted as a support pivot, is now functioning as intraday resistance, aligning with the lower boundary of the failed channel. As long as the price remains below this zone, the path of least resistance leans bearish.<\/p>\n<p>The next key liquidity area sits around $3.2K\u2013$3.3K, overlapping with the midline of the daily descending channel. This region could serve as a potential reaction base for short-term buyers if selling pressure intensifies.\u00a0However, a clean break beneath this support would shift focus toward the $3.0K\u2013$3.1K macro demand, the same level seen in the daily structure as a historically significant accumulation area.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETH-4h-3.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1419665\" src=\"https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=9999\" alt=\"\" width=\"2104\" height=\"1286\" srcset=\"https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=2104 2104w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=300,h=183 300w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=1024,h=626 1024w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=768,h=469 768w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=1536,h=939 1536w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=2048,h=1252 2048w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=90,h=55 90w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=147,h=90 147w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=2000,h=1222 2000w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=1600,h=978 1600w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=1400,h=856 1400w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=1200,h=733 1200w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=1000,h=611 1000w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=900,h=550 900w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=800,h=489 800w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=700,h=428 700w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=600,h=367 600w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=500,h=306 500w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=400,h=244 400w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=200,h=122 200w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/99abc4ba-1535-4275-40d3-8445546b8800\/w=100,h=61 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2104px) 100vw, 2104px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"sentiment-analysis\">Sentiment Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>By Shayan<\/p>\n<p>The ETH 2-week liquidation heatmap reveals that dense clusters of leveraged positions have accumulated in two major zones:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Above $3.8K\u2013$3.9K: A thick concentration of short liquidations, indicating that any breakout rally into this area could trigger a rapid move upward as shorts are forced to close.<\/li>\n<li>Below $3.2K\u2013$3.0K: A wide, long liquidation zone, suggesting that aggressive downside wicks into this region could serve as a liquidity grab before a potential rebound.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Currently, ETH is positioned between both extremes, trading in a compressed equilibrium. This reinforces the idea that the next directional move will likely be liquidity-driven, either a sweep of lower long liquidations before reversal, or a push above $3.9K to fuel a late-stage short squeeze.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETH-Liquidation-Heatmap2-week-2025-11-12_13_40_46-scaled.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1419664\" src=\"https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=2560\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=2560 2560w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=300,h=177 300w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=1024,h=605 1024w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=768,h=453 768w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=1536,h=907 1536w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=2048,h=1209 2048w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=90,h=53 90w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=150,h=90 150w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=2000,h=1181 2000w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=1600,h=945 1600w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=1400,h=827 1400w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=1200,h=709 1200w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=1000,h=590 1000w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=900,h=531 900w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=800,h=472 800w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=700,h=413 700w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=600,h=354 600w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=500,h=295 500w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=400,h=236 400w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=200,h=118 200w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/0217ffb7-5474-4541-d5e1-83f4a8c5f100\/w=100,h=59 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-9\" style=\"margin: 8px 0; clear: both;\">\n<div><center><span style=\"font-size:11px; color: gray;\">SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)<\/span><\/center><br \/>\n<b>SECRET PARTNERSHIP BONUS for CryptoPotato readers: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/goto\/bingxpromo\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Use this link<\/a> to register and unlock $1,500 in exclusive BingX Exchange rewards (limited time offer).<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-style: italic; color: #808080;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/ideas\/cryptocurrency\/\">Cryptocurrency charts<\/a>\u00a0by TradingView.<\/div>\n<p><!-- CONTENT END 1 --><\/p><\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/ethereum-price-analysis-bull-run-thesis-to-be-validated-if-eth-reclaims-this-key-resistance\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ethereum is once again testing critical support after failing to maintain momentum above the $3.6K zone. Current market&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38016,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-crypto","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38015"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38015\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/38016"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}