{"id":37526,"date":"2025-10-31T12:16:08","date_gmt":"2025-10-31T12:16:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=37526"},"modified":"2025-10-31T12:16:08","modified_gmt":"2025-10-31T12:16:08","slug":"why-peter-brandt-expects-bitcoin-btc-to-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=37526","title":{"rendered":"Why Peter Brandt Expects Bitcoin (BTC) to Fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<p>Peter Brandt, a veteran trader with decades of market experience, has taken a short position in Bitcoin futures.<\/p>\n<p>Despite being a long-term holder of BTC, Brandt is trading against it in the short term based on technical signals that suggest further downside is possible.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"broadening-pattern-indicates-risk\">Broadening Pattern Indicates Risk<\/h2>\n<p>On the daily chart, Brandt <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1984001227550814377\">identified<\/a> a broadening formation, sometimes referred to as a megaphone pattern. It shows five distinct swings, with the most recent top near $126,000. After this high, Bitcoin moved into a sideways range between $106,000 and $116,000 before dipping below the south boundary.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1418308\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1418308\" style=\"width: 1185px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/G4iWUANXAAAXzf6.png\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1418308\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Peter Brandt\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Currently, the price sits near $109,500, following a 2% drop in the past day and 2% over the last week. This breakdown below the range supports Brandt\u2019s short-term bearish setup. If the move continues, potential price levels to watch include $97,000 and $84,721.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"order-book-shows-liquidity-above-price\">Order Book Shows Liquidity Above Price<\/h2>\n<p>Market data from Coinglass shows that most of the order book liquidity sits above the current price. The $113,000 to $116,000 range contains large clusters of limit orders and stop-losses. Rekt Fencer posted,<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">All <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> liquidity is sitting above the current price.<\/p>\n<p>Just one pump and shorts get wiped.<\/p>\n<p>Is the V-reversal loading right now? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/57OzobYCei\">pic.twitter.com\/57OzobYCei<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rekt Fencer (@rektfencer) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rektfencer\/status\/1984168328001405202?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 31, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>A sudden move higher could trigger short liquidations, leading to a quick price bounce. Below current levels, there are fewer large orders, which may weaken support on the way down.<\/p>\n<p>Notably, Bitcoin has a history of large drawdowns after hitting the upper boundary of its long-term trend channel. Past rejections have led to drops of 84% and 77%. The latest chart shows another rejection near this same trendline, with a potential 73% decline if the pattern holds.<\/p>\n<p>Rekt Fencer <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rektfencer\/status\/1983893766173028594\">added<\/a>,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cEvery time Bitcoin rejects this line, it dumps 70%\u2026 Hope you are ready for $BTC at $40,000.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>A move toward that zone would match the lower boundary of the multi-year channel.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1418307\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1418307\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/G4g03AGWwAAb4Ww.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1418307\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/G4g03AGWwAAb4Ww.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC) price chart\" width=\"1200\" height=\"611\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1418307\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Rekt Fencer\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 id=\"rate-cut-sparks-market-reaction\">Rate Cut Sparks Market Reaction<\/h2>\n<p>The Federal Reserve\u2019s recent 0.25% rate cut led to volatility across markets. Bitcoin briefly fell below $108,000 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/us-federal-reserve-cuts-rates-by-25-basis-points-bitcoin-price-reacts\/\">comments<\/a>, as traders reacted to the policy shift. Some <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-crashes-after-fed-rate-cut-as-traders-fall-for-buy-the-rumor-sell-the-news-trap\/\">described<\/a> it as a classic \u201c<em>buy the rumor, sell the news<\/em>\u201d event.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, on-chain data <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-supply-shock-brewing-as-binance-reserves-hit-lows\/\">shows<\/a> falling BTC balances on exchanges, suggesting reduced supply. As CryptoPotato <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/big-moves-ahead-for-btc-and-eth-as-whales-activity-surges\/\">reported<\/a>, large transactions above $1 million have also reached a two-month high, which points to continued interest from large holders. However, the asset remains under pressure as short-term uncertainty persists.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/why-peter-brandt-expects-bitcoin-btc-to-fall\/\">Why Peter Brandt Expects Bitcoin (BTC) to Fall<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/why-peter-brandt-expects-bitcoin-btc-to-fall\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Peter Brandt, a veteran trader with decades of market experience, has taken a short position in Bitcoin futures.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37527,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-crypto","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=37526"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37526\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/37527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=37526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=37526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=37526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}