{"id":36891,"date":"2025-10-16T10:41:18","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T10:41:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=36891"},"modified":"2025-10-16T10:41:18","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T10:41:18","slug":"switzerland-slashes-gdp-forecast-as-trumps-tariffs-weigh-on-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=36891","title":{"rendered":"Switzerland slashes GDP forecast as Trump&#8217;s tariffs weigh on economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-108171415\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<p>Untere Schleuse wooden bridge in Thun, Switzerland.<\/p>\n<p>Education Images | Universal Images Group | Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Switzerland&#8217;s government on Thursday cut its 2026 economic forecast for the country, citing the Trump administration&#8217;s punitive tariffs as a &#8220;heavy burden&#8221; on its industries.<\/p>\n<p>Officials held their forecast for the Swiss economy to expand by 1.3% this year, but noted that this level of economic growth was &#8220;significantly below-average&#8221; for the country. For next year, they are now forecasting gross domestic product (GDP) growth will slow to 0.9% \u2013 down from a previous 2026 forecast of 1.2% growth.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Higher U.S. tariffs have further clouded the outlook for the Swiss economy,&#8221; officials said in a news release on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>Switzerland is an export-driven economy, and the U.S. was the top foreign destination for its goods in 2024. Back in August, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/01\/switzerland-economic-blow-with-surprise-39percent-us-tariff.html\">Switzerland was hit with 39% tariffs<\/a> on goods sent to the U.S. after a Swiss delegation failed to secure a deal with U.S. officials \u2014 one of the highest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/07\/the-full-list-of-us-tariffs-in-place-around-the-world.html\">country-specific rates<\/a> imposed by the Trump administration.<\/p>\n<p>The country&#8217;s biggest exports include watches, pharmaceuticals and precious metals \u2014 but the country is also renowned for its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/05\/chocolate-skincare-timepieces-how-swiss-tariffs-will-hit-prices.html\">luxury goods, chocolate and skincare products<\/a>. Branded and patented pharma products are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/09\/26\/us-to-impose-100percent-tariff-on-branded-patented-drugs-unless-firms-build-plants-locally-trump-says.html\">newly subject to 100% tariffs<\/a> upon entry to the U.S., unless their manufacturers have or are building production facilities in America.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-cnbcNewsStory\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/06\/trump-tariffs-why-switzerland-faces-a-unique-struggle.html\"><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-cnbcNewsStoryHeader\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/06\/trump-tariffs-why-switzerland-faces-a-unique-struggle.html\">Switzerland is in a uniquely difficult position when it comes to tariffs. Here&#8217;s why<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Swiss officials said in Thursday&#8217;s update that under current trade conditions, global demand for Swiss goods and services is expected to rise &#8220;only modestly&#8221; in the coming quarters.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The current trade policy environment presents particular challenges for Switzerland,&#8221; they said. &#8220;The additional tariffs are placing a heavy burden on affected sectors and export-oriented companies, with significant ripple effects expected across the broader economy. Moreover, persistent uncertainty is also dampening economic activity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The government also warned that most of America&#8217;s other trading partners had been granted lower tariff rates, placing Swiss exporters at a competitive disadvantage in the U.S. market. White House trade policy held significant influence over the future trajectory of Switzerland&#8217;s economy, they said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If Switzerland were to reach an agreement with the U.S. or if international trade policy were to ease, a more favorable development would be expected,&#8221; they said. &#8220;Overall, however, downside risks currently dominate.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Beyond Trump&#8217;s tariffs, demand for the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/CHF=\/\">Swiss franc<\/a>\u00a0is also adding to Switzerland&#8217;s economic and diplomatic woes, with the currency \u2013 typically seen as a safe haven asset in times of broader volatility \u2013 gaining more than 12% this year amid lingering uncertainty. The rising franc has created headwinds for the country&#8217;s central bank by putting downward pressure on prices as policymakers battle to avoid disinflation and negative interest rates.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"Collapsible-proliveCollapsableContainer\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"256\" height=\"256\" viewbox=\"0 0 256 256\" aria-labelledby=\"title desc\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" preserveaspectratio=\"xMinYMin\" class=\"Collapsible-stockChartIcon\"><title>Stock Chart Icon<\/title><desc>Stock chart icon<\/desc><g transform=\"translate(1.4065934065934016 1.4065934065934016) scale(2.81 2.81)\"><path d=\"M 87.994 0 H 69.342 c -1.787 0 -2.682 2.16 -1.418 3.424 l 5.795 5.795 l -33.82 33.82 L 28.056 31.196 l -3.174 -3.174 c -1.074 -1.074 -2.815 -1.074 -3.889 0 L 0.805 48.209 c -1.074 1.074 -1.074 2.815 0 3.889 l 3.174 3.174 c 1.074 1.074 2.815 1.074 3.889 0 l 15.069 -15.069 l 14.994 14.994 c 1.074 1.074 2.815 1.074 3.889 0 l 1.614 -1.614 c 0.083 -0.066 0.17 -0.125 0.247 -0.202 l 37.1 -37.1 l 5.795 5.795 C 87.84 23.34 90 22.445 90 20.658 V 2.006 C 90 0.898 89.102 0 87.994 0 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M 65.626 37.8 v 49.45 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 23.518 L 65.626 37.8 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M 47.115 56.312 V 87.25 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 42.03 L 47.115 56.312 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M 39.876 60.503 c -1.937 0 -3.757 -0.754 -5.127 -2.124 l -6.146 -6.145 V 87.25 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 59.844 C 41.952 60.271 40.933 60.503 39.876 60.503 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M 22.937 46.567 L 11.051 58.453 c -0.298 0.298 -0.621 0.562 -0.959 0.8 V 87.25 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 48.004 L 22.937 46.567 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/p>\n<div class=\"Collapsible-proLivePlayerCloseOrExpand\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><iframe title=\"U.S. dollar\/Swiss franc\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/appchart?symbol=CHF%3D&amp;range=YTD&amp;type=line&amp;embedded=true&amp;$DEVICE$=undefined\" height=\"460\" scrolling=\"no\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border:0;width:100%\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>U.S. dollar\/Swiss franc<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Officials said on Thursday that the <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-6\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/CHF=\/\">Swiss franc<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> was continuing to play a role in Switzerland&#8217;s economic challenges \u2013 and cautioned that a further strengthening of the franc was possible.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A deterioration in the international environment cannot be ruled out,&#8221; they said, noting that risks related to a market correction, global sovereign debt and the geopolitical landscape persisted.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Should any of these risks materialize, further upward pressure on the Swiss franc would be expected,&#8221; they said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2 id=\"risks-are-mounting\" class=\"ArticleBody-subtitle\"><a id=\"headline0\"\/>Risks are mounting<\/h2>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Charlotte de Montpellier, senior economist, France and Switzerland at ING, told CNBC on Thursday that &#8220;risks for the Swiss economy are mounting.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Its exposure to the US market is big, amounting to 4% of GDP,&#8221; de Montpellier said in an email. &#8220;I estimate\u00a0a cumulative direct impact of the current increase of US tariffs to 39% on Swiss GDP of about 0.86% in the first two years.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>De Montpellier recently revised her own growth forecast for Switzerland for 2026 down to 0.8% \u2013 almost half the growth rate she was forecasting at the beginning of this year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I believe that the risk are tilted to the downside and the likelihood of having a quarter of negative growth has strongly increased,&#8221; she said. &#8220;The Swiss economy, long buoyed by pharmaceutical exports, now faces a period of heightened uncertainty that will lead to a sharp deceleration of activity momentum.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-cnbcNewsStory\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/06\/04\/swiss-franc-why-a-strong-currency-is-causing-problems-for-switzerland.html\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108118262-1742392686646-gettyimages-2188875466-SWITZERLAND_SNB.jpeg?v=1749203142&amp;w=160&amp;h=90\" alt=\"The Swiss National Bank (SNB) in Bern, Switzerland, on Thursday, Dec. 12, 2024.\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-cnbcNewsStoryHeader\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/06\/04\/swiss-franc-why-a-strong-currency-is-causing-problems-for-switzerland.html\">Swiss franc&#8217;s safe haven status is proving to be a headache for the nation<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Melanie Debono, senior Europe economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said on Thursday that the new forecasts from the Swiss government were in line with her own.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A fall in goods exports, as indicated by monthly nominal goods trade figures, coupled with falling investment \u2014 in light of the surge in uncertainty and despite [Swiss National Bank] rate cuts, which will ultimately feed through to lower interest rates faced by firms \u2014 means we expect the Swiss economy to enter recession in the second half of this year,&#8221; she told CNBC via email. &#8220;We think Swiss GDP will fall by 0.2% quarter-to-quarter in both Q3 and Q4.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/10\/16\/switzerland-slashes-gdp-forecast-as-trumps-tariffs-weigh-on-economy-.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Untere Schleuse wooden bridge in Thun, Switzerland. Education Images | Universal Images Group | Getty Images Switzerland&#8217;s government&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":36892,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36891","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36891"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36891\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/36892"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}