{"id":36854,"date":"2025-10-15T14:57:20","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T14:57:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=36854"},"modified":"2025-10-15T14:57:20","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T14:57:20","slug":"ethereum-price-analysis-eth-still-in-danger-below-critical-resistance-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=36854","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Still in Danger Below Critical Resistance Levels"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ethereum has staged a notable rebound from the $3.4K capitulation low, reclaiming ground above the psychological $4K level. While the move marks a strong recovery, ETH remains capped beneath key resistance zones, signalling that this rebound is an early stage of structural repair rather than a confirmed bullish continuation.<\/p>\n

Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n

By Shayan<\/p>\n

The Daily Chart<\/h3>\n

On the daily timeframe, Ethereum has recovered from the $3.4K\u2013$3.5K demand zone, propelling the price back above both the 100-day moving average ($4K) and the channel\u2019s previously broken lower trendline. This surge has been supported by a bullish RSI divergence, indicating waning downside momentum and suggesting that sellers are losing control after the recent capitulation.<\/p>\n

The price action has since reclaimed the channel\u2019s lower boundary, now acting as dynamic support, and is consolidating above this reclaimed level. However, the structure remains fragile. Sustained acceptance above $4.3K is essential to reestablish a bullish bias and open the path toward the $4.6K\u2013$4.7K supply zone. Conversely, a drop back below $4K could invalidate the recovery and expose the $3.6K\u2013$3.4K liquidity pool for another test.<\/p>\n

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The 4-Hour Chart<\/h3>\n

The 4-hour structure reveals Ethereum forming a rising wedge pattern following its sharp V-shaped rebound from the $3.4K low. The asset is now trading near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone around $4.25K, which overlaps with the former breakdown area ($4.2K\u2013$4.3K), making this a key decision point for short-term direction.<\/p>\n

A breakout above $4.3K would invalidate the wedge structure and confirm bullish continuation toward $4.45K\u2013$4.7K, aligning with the daily supply region. On the other hand, a breakdown below the wedge could trigger renewed weakness, sending Ethereum back toward the $3.8K\u2013$3.4K demand range. Momentum remains cautiously constructive, but with volatility compressed inside the wedge, a directional expansion is likely imminent.<\/p>\n

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Sentiment Analysis<\/h2>\n

By Shayan<\/p>\n

On-chain data from Binance, the largest Ethereum trading platform, shows a sharp decline in ETH\u2019s exchange supply ratio, which has fallen to 0.33, approaching its lowest levels since May. This drop follows a brief uptick in exchange balances during the period when Ethereum was stabilizing around $4K.<\/p>\n

The falling exchange supply ratio indicates that holders are withdrawing ETH from exchanges into self-custody or cold wallets, a behavior widely viewed as bullish. Fewer coins held on exchanges mean lower immediate selling pressure and a tightening of available liquidity, setting conditions for a potential supply squeeze if demand strengthens.<\/p>\n

This trend suggests that Ethereum\u2019s recovery is not merely technical, but underpinned by genuine on-chain accumulation. The shift toward holding behavior by both retail and institutional participants reinforces the idea of a structural demand base forming beneath current price levels.<\/p>\n

If this withdrawal trend persists and technical confirmation occurs with a decisive breakout above $4.3K, Ethereum could be poised for a sustained mid-term rally, supported by shrinking exchange liquidity and strengthening market fundamentals.<\/p>\n

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The post Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Still in Danger Below Critical Resistance Levels<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n
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