{"id":36174,"date":"2025-09-29T16:34:23","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T16:34:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=36174"},"modified":"2025-09-29T16:34:23","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T16:34:23","slug":"bitcoins-cheat-code-50-ema-could-decide-btcs-price-in-q4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=36174","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Cheat Code? 50 EMA Could Decide BTC&#8217;s Price in Q4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBitcoin trades near $112K as analysts watch the 50 EMA, fading momentum, and a CME gap for Q4 direction.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading near $112,100 as analysts focus on the role of its long-term moving average, cooling momentum, and a newly opened CME gap.<\/p>\n<p>Traders see key support and resistance levels that may decide the market\u2019s direction in the final quarter of 2025.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"50-ema-as-the-golden-line\">50 EMA as the \u201cGolden Line\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader called the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) Bitcoin\u2019s \u201ccheat code.\u201d His chart shows repeated retests of this level in 2023, 2024, and 2025. Each one triggered what he described as a \u201cBullish Retest,\u201d with price then climbing to new highs.<\/p>\n<p>BTC is now approaching the 50 EMA again. The average sits just under $100,000. Merlijn <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/1972572052038307964\" target=\"_blank\">said<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cAll bounces are vertical rallies. Every break is capitulation. Q4 survival or destruction depends on this line.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Traders are watching to see if price will hold above the level or break below it.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1414372\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1414372\" style=\"width: 1199px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G19lqFcWUAA-Y9w.jpeg\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1414372\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Merlijn The Trader\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 id=\"momentum-cooling\">Momentum Cooling<\/h2>\n<p>Data from CryptoQuant shows the 30-day momentum index has turned neutral-to-bearish. Analyst CryptoBusy <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoBusy\/status\/1972564502509224326\" target=\"_blank\">said<\/a> this shows fading buying strength and more downside risk.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin recently fell from $115,400 to $108,600. The $108,600 level now serves as support, while resistance is seen between $111,000 and $112,000.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"you-may-also-like\" class=\"heading-4\">You may also like:<\/h3>\n<h2 id=\"cme-gap-opens\">CME Gap Opens<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin CME futures opened with a gap between $110,500 and $111,300. Price later rallied to around $112,930, leaving the gap unfilled.<\/p>\n<p>Analyst Daan Crypto Trades <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DaanCrypto\/status\/1972469249789628880\" target=\"_blank\">noted<\/a> that CME gaps often close quickly but added: <em>\u201cIt has been quite a while since we did open with a gap like this.\u201d<\/em> He said he does not see the gap in play <em>\u201cuntil BTC starts trading below $111K.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1414373\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1414373\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1-d6w3XkAAvxk6.jpeg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1414373\" src=\"https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=9999\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC) price chart\" width=\"1200\" height=\"837\" srcset=\"https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=1200 1200w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=300,h=209 300w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=1024,h=714 1024w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=768,h=536 768w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=90,h=63 90w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=129,h=90 129w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=1000,h=698 1000w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=900,h=628 900w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=800,h=558 800w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=700,h=488 700w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=600,h=419 600w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=500,h=349 500w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=400,h=279 400w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=200,h=140 200w, https:\/\/imagedelivery.net\/m229SatnEWUWJyPg8tcYvg\/a1429499-2521-42ff-2a5e-d70564ca8200\/w=100,h=70 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"\/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1414373\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Daan Crypto Trades\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A drop under $111,000 could lead traders to target the gap for closure. If support holds, the gap may remain open for longer, as has occurred in past cases.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading inside a tight range. Analysts point to the 50 EMA as the critical level for Q4. Whether price bounces from this line or breaks below it may decide the next major move.<\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-12\" style=\"margin: 8px 0; clear: both;\">\n<div><center><span style=\"font-size:11px; color: gray;\">SPECIAL OFFER (Sponsored)<\/span><\/center><br \/>\n<b>Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/binance600f\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Use this link<\/a> to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance<\/b> (<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/binance600d\/\">full details<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><b>LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/pl\/bybit24\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Use this link<\/a> to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- CONTENT END 1 --><\/p><\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoins-cheat-code-50-ema-could-decide-btcs-price-in-q4\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin trades near $112K as analysts watch the 50 EMA, fading momentum, and a CME gap for Q4&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36175,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-36174","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crypto","8":"cs-entry","9":"cs-video-wrap"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36174"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36174\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/36175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}