{"id":34999,"date":"2025-08-07T14:51:40","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T14:51:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=34999"},"modified":"2025-08-07T14:51:40","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T14:51:40","slug":"3-reasons-why-bitcoin-btc-could-rally-hard-this-august","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=34999","title":{"rendered":"3 Reasons Why Bitcoin (BTC) Could Rally Hard This August"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>TL;DR<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">With US interest rate cut odds in September jumping to almost 80%, markets may start pricing in bullis<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">h momentum early \u2013 potentially benefiting BTC throughout August.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Some analysts believe the asset has yet to enter its \u201cthrill\u201d and \u201ceuphoria\u201d phases, which can lead to a renewed price rally.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/BTC_CB-18.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><\/a><\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 id=\"major-gains-this-month\">Major Gains This Month?<\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bitcoin (BTC) <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/is-this-the-last-dance-bitcoin-btc-smashes-another-ath-euphoria-looms\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">soared<\/a> to an all-time high of over $123,000 in July but is currently trading well below $120,000. And while some have started doubting the asset\u2019s potential to achieve new gains in the short term, here are three <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">important<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> factors that suggest the ongoing month can be highly beneficial.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Let\u2019s start with an overlook of BTC\u2019s performance in August during the past 11 years. The primary cryptocurrency has finished the month in the green zone only four times \u2013 in 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_407681\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-407681\" style=\"width: 667px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/BTC-Monthly-Returns.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-407681\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxMzIwIDc5MiIgd2lkdGg9IjEzMjAiIGhlaWdodD0iNzkyIiBkYXRhLXU9Imh0dHBzJTNBJTJGJTJGY3J5cHRvcG90YXRvLmNvbSUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNSUyRjA4JTJGQlRDLU1vbnRobHktUmV0dXJucy5wbmciIGRhdGEtdz0iMTMyMCIgZGF0YS1oPSI3OTIiIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"BTC Monthly Returns\" width=\"667\" height=\"400\"\/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-407681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Monthly Returns, Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Interestingly, it has always managed to close August with some gains after a halving year. The latest halving, which reduced the miners\u2019 rewards for adding new blocks in half, occurred in 2024. We have yet to see whether the current month will follow the historical trend or w<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">hether we<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> will witness an exception.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We move on to the potential lowering of interest rates in the United States. The latest jobs data report indicated that the economy is weaker than previously expected, which means the Federal Reserve might be more inclined to drop the benchmark. According to Polymarket, the odds of such a move coming in September have soared from 35% to almost 80%.<br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_407680\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-407680\" style=\"width: 770px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Fed-Rates.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-407680\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCA5MzcgNDg3IiB3aWR0aD0iOTM3IiBoZWlnaHQ9IjQ4NyIgZGF0YS11PSJodHRwcyUzQSUyRiUyRmNyeXB0b3BvdGF0by5jb20lMkZ3cC1jb250ZW50JTJGdXBsb2FkcyUyRjIwMjUlMkYwOCUyRkZlZC1SYXRlcy5wbmciIGRhdGEtdz0iOTM3IiBkYXRhLWg9IjQ4NyIgZGF0YS1iaXA9IiI+PC9zdmc+\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Probability of Rate Cut\" width=\"770\" height=\"400\"\/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-407680\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Probability of Rate Cut, Source: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Lower rates will make borrowing money cheaper and may encourage investors to take on riskier investments, such as those in cryptocurrencies like BTC. Markets often begin pricing in such events before the actual announcement, with enthusiasm and optimism building early.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Lastly, we will examine BTC\u2019s MVRV, which compares the asset\u2019s market capitalization to its realized capitalization, helping traders determine whether it is undervalued or overvalued.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Over the past month, the ratio has fluctuated within the healthy range of 2.2 to 2.4, indicating that there is still potential for further appreciation. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Based on<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> CryptoQuant\u2019s analysis, levels above 3.7 have historically aligned with cycle tops, while values <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">under<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> 1 <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">have corresponded with market lows.<br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_407679\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-407679\" style=\"width: 804px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/BTC-MVRV.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-407679\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxNTMwIDc2MSIgd2lkdGg9IjE1MzAiIGhlaWdodD0iNzYxIiBkYXRhLXU9Imh0dHBzJTNBJTJGJTJGY3J5cHRvcG90YXRvLmNvbSUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNSUyRjA4JTJGQlRDLU1WUlYucG5nIiBkYXRhLXc9IjE1MzAiIGRhdGEtaD0iNzYxIiBkYXRhLWJpcD0iIj48L3N2Zz4=\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"BTC MVRV\" width=\"804\" height=\"400\"\/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-407679\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC MVRV, Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 id=\"waiting-for-these-phases\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Waiting for These Phases<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Many analysts believe BTC has much more fuel left to reach fresh peaks. X user Mags <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/thescalpingpro\/status\/1953368319483883874\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">assumed<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> that the asset is yet to enter the \u201cthrill\u201d and \u201ceuphoria\u201d zones, predicting a rally above $200,000. However, this usually marks the end of the bull run and could be followed by a steep correction to approximately $100,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">#Bitcoin<\/a> is about to enter Thrill. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uz1D2uGnYm\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/uz1D2uGnYm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mags (@thescalpingpro) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thescalpingpro\/status\/1953368319483883874?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">August 7, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-12\" style=\"margin: 8px 0; clear: both;\">\n<div><center><span style=\"font-size:11px; color: gray;\">SPECIAL OFFER (Sponsored)<\/span><\/center><br \/>\n<b>Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/binance600f\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Use this link<\/a> to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance<\/b> (<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/binance600d\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">full details<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><b>LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/pl\/bybit24\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Use this link<\/a> to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- AI CONTENT END 1 --><\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/3-reasons-why-bitcoin-btc-could-rally-hard-this-august\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"TL;DR With US interest rate cut odds in September jumping to almost 80%, markets may start pricing in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":35000,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-crypto","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=34999"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34999\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/35000"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=34999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=34999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=34999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}