{"id":32711,"date":"2025-06-27T10:18:46","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T10:18:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=32711"},"modified":"2025-06-27T10:18:46","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T10:18:46","slug":"mark-carney-faces-a-separatist-push-in-canadas-oil-rich-west","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/?p=32711","title":{"rendered":"Mark Carney faces a separatist push in Canada\u2019s oil-rich west"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div id=\"article-body\">\n<p>Roger Bablitz leans under the bonnet to fix his 1976 purple Chevrolet Stepside pick-up truck, while an American flag billows in the wind nearby.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDonald Trump, he\u2019s a good guy. I don\u2019t mind him,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But Bablitz, a 54-year-old single manual labourer, is not in the US. He is in High River, a small town in southern Alberta.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBecoming the 51st US state wouldn\u2019t hurt my feelings,\u201d he said. \u201cI think it would be better if we do join the States or just separate from Canada.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Separatist sentiments have been energised in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/stream\/3ceb642e-f402-33df-8244-fe1f2952d515\" data-trackable=\"link\">Alberta<\/a>, the western Canadian province that is the largest foreign supplier of oil to the US and has always considered itself a little bit different than the rest of Canada. <\/p>\n<p>Its independence movement poses a threat to Prime Minister Mark Carney\u2019s push for national unity and his ability to respond to the economic threats unleashed by Trump, the US president.<\/p>\n<p>This turmoil has been amplified by premier Danielle Smith, the 54-year-old United Conservative party leader who regularly rails against Ottawa and has opened the door to an independence referendum.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAlbertans have had enough,\u201d she told the Financial Times in an interview. \u201cAlbertans can be pushed and pushed to a point, and then it just boils over.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Smith said she was against separating from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/canada\" data-trackable=\"link\">Canada<\/a> or Trump\u2019s idea of joining the US. But she has turned up the heat on these simmering tensions. <\/p>\n<div class=\"n-content-layout\" data-layout-width=\"full-grid\">\n<figure class=\"n-content-picture n-content-picture--wide n-content-layout__container\" data-component=\"image-set\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 490px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A8a79aa33-310e-461c-87f0-b45a3e93599e?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=1 1x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A8a79aa33-310e-461c-87f0-b45a3e93599e?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=2 2x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A8a79aa33-310e-461c-87f0-b45a3e93599e?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=3 3x\" width=\"1499\" height=\"1499\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 980px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A9068f188-73f6-4bf0-96b8-49c7428d2a7f?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=1200&amp;dpr=1 1x\" width=\"2248\" height=\"1499\"\/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"n-content-picture__caption o3-editorial-typography-caption\"><span>\u2018I think it would be better if we do join the States or just separate from Canada,\u2019 says Roger Bablitz <\/span><span> <!-- -->\u00a9 Jason Franson\/FT<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>The day after Carney won the national election in April, she introduced a law that lowers the threshold to hold a provincial vote on whether Alberta should breakaway from Canada. From next month, only 177,000 signatures are needed for a referendum petition, down from 600,000.<\/p>\n<p>Dennis Modry, a retired heart surgeon and co-leader of the Alberta Prosperity Project, a \u201cpro-sovereignty, referendum movement\u201d, said a referendum could be held as early as next year. \u201cWe already have well over 250,000 people that will sign that petition,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But the polls tell a different story. <\/p>\n<p>Only 29 per cent of Albertans support the idea of Alberta becoming its own country, according to a May Leger<a href=\"https:\/\/leger360.com\/in-the-news-alberta-separatism\/\" data-trackable=\"link\"> survey,<\/a> while the Angus Reid Institute<a href=\"https:\/\/angusreid.org\/referendum-alberta-saskatchewan-smith-moe\/\" data-trackable=\"link\"> <\/a>reported that at least 36 per cent of Albertans wanted a vote to leave Canada while highlighting similar tensions exist in neighbouring Saskatchewan.<\/p>\n<p>On Monday, the separatist Republican Party of Alberta came third in a by-election\u00a0dominated by Smith\u2019s United Conservative party.<\/p>\n<p>However, support for independence has jumped by 5 points since 2021, back to levels seen during the pandemic when many voters chafed at Ottawa\u2019s tight Covid-19 restrictions, according to data from Janet Brown Opinion Research. <\/p>\n<p>Smith is walking a fine line. \u201cI\u2019ll let the process play out,\u201d she said. \u201cMy job is to make the case for a strong Alberta within a united Canada.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This week, she launched the Alberta Next Panel, a group of elected officials and business and community leaders that will travel the province holding town hall meetings about how to \u201cstand up to Ottawa\u2019s over-reach\u201d and improve their economy.<\/p>\n<div class=\"n-content-layout\" data-layout-width=\"full-grid\">\n<figure class=\"n-content-picture n-content-picture--wide n-content-layout__container\" data-component=\"image-set\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 490px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A38e57653-2834-44d4-9aa9-9c42675c0d09?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=1 1x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A38e57653-2834-44d4-9aa9-9c42675c0d09?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=2 2x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A38e57653-2834-44d4-9aa9-9c42675c0d09?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=3 3x\" width=\"1508\" height=\"1508\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 980px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A397ad1e6-08c8-44f6-b01f-9f2d05784e17?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=1200&amp;dpr=1 1x\" width=\"2262\" height=\"1508\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2Fd747fe61-77d2-457b-b109-623237cb2152.jpg?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=700&amp;dpr=1\" alt=\"Alberta premier Danielle Smith\" data-image-type=\"image\" width=\"2262\" height=\"1508\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"n-content-picture__caption o3-editorial-typography-caption\"><span>Alberta premier Danielle Smith: \u2018Albertans can be pushed and pushed to a point, and then it just boils over\u2019<\/span><span> <!-- -->\u00a9 Jason Franson\/FT<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Canada is no stranger to an identity crisis. French-speaking Quebec in the country\u2019s east held unsuccessful votes for independence in 1980 and 1995. <\/p>\n<p>Now, it is the west that is voicing its frustration, particularly over how their abundant oil reserves pay for less prosperous provinces. <\/p>\n<p>But even if a \u201cYes\u201d vote wins more than 50 per cent of the vote, independence could only happen after long negotiations with Ottawa and other provinces. It also has to contend with First Nations groups that are fiercely against the idea. <\/p>\n<p>Since the first railway was built westwards more than a century ago, agricultural and oil-producing westerners have felt resentment towards the \u201cLaurentian elite\u201d who live in the eastern cities of Montreal, Ottawa and Toronto and tend to overlook western provinces\u2019 contributions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe continue to be a colony serving the interests of the East,\u201d said Modry. \u201cWe are pillaged and plundered for our wealth, we have values shoved down our throats that don\u2019t align with values of people here.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"n-content-layout\" data-layout-width=\"full-grid\">\n<figure class=\"n-content-picture n-content-picture--wide n-content-layout__container\" data-component=\"image-set\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 490px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A1dd456e3-c5c5-41f2-8176-3429d2ee5e2c?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=1 1x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A1dd456e3-c5c5-41f2-8176-3429d2ee5e2c?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=2 2x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A1dd456e3-c5c5-41f2-8176-3429d2ee5e2c?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=3 3x\" width=\"1514\" height=\"1514\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 980px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3Aedf51a63-dd54-4482-b0b8-24b44e0a0c5f?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=1200&amp;dpr=1 1x\" width=\"2272\" height=\"1514\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2Fb8f6a6c0-cb94-4eb7-a149-1d2dd56372dd.jpg?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=700&amp;dpr=1\" alt=\"A Freedom sign on a farm\" data-image-type=\"image\" width=\"2272\" height=\"1514\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"n-content-picture__caption o3-editorial-typography-caption\"><span>Only 29% of Albertans support the idea of Alberta becoming its own country<\/span><span> <!-- -->\u00a9 Jason Franson\/FT<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Albertans predominately vote conservative and regularly find themselves at odds with Ottawa, who they accuse of over-reach or unfair policies that cost them billions every year.<\/p>\n<p>Smith said the anger today is the result of a decade of Liberal party rule under former prime minister Justin Trudeau, whose climate-focused agenda, such as the carbon tax, was \u201cdevastating to families\u201d and stifled industry.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve got legitimate grievances, and I hope that the prime minister realises that it\u2019s in his hands now,\u201d she said. She sent Carney nine energy-focused<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/abdaniellesmith\/status\/1902788823555379208?s=46\" data-trackable=\"link\"> demands<\/a> to keep Alberta on side, mostly by rolling back Trudeau-era environmental measures. <\/p>\n<p>Smith, a former radio talk show host, is no stranger to controversy, whether over criticising vaccine mandates or refusing to fall in line with Trudeau\u2019s \u201cTeam Canada\u201d united front to counter Trump\u2019s threatened tariffs in February. <\/p>\n<p>Smith met Trump in January at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida in a bid to promote Alberta\u2019s energy abundance.<\/p>\n<p>Carney, raised in Alberta\u2019s capital city of Edmonton, has already made overtures to the west at a time of record oil production and a new LNG project soon coming online.<\/p>\n<p>Smith was the first premier Carney visited after becoming prime minister. His election promise to make Canada an \u201cenergy superpower\u201d with the \u201cstrongest economy in the G7\u201d heavily relies on Alberta\u2019s support.<\/p>\n<p>When asked about the prospect of a referendum, Carney said the government was \u201ctrying to build not break Canada\u201d while having \u201cvery constructive conversations with Smith\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>But while talks may be progressing, old faultlines remain. Smith pointed to a novelty button on her desk that flashes red and lights up the word \u201cbullshit\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is what I press when I am on Zoom calls with the Liberals,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p>Smith\u2019s inner circle also includes figures such as chief of staff Rob Anderson, an author of the Free Alberta Strategy, a manifesto urging the province \u201cto assert its sovereignty, (and) offload the burden of Ottawa\u2019s tyrannical economic policies\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"n-content-layout\" data-layout-width=\"full-grid\">\n<figure class=\"n-content-picture n-content-picture--wide n-content-layout__container\" data-component=\"image-set\"><picture><source media=\"(max-width: 490px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A7b11f1ef-66b0-4d41-aed7-39f4e13e00cd?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=1 1x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A7b11f1ef-66b0-4d41-aed7-39f4e13e00cd?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=2 2x,https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3A7b11f1ef-66b0-4d41-aed7-39f4e13e00cd?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=490&amp;dpr=3 3x\" width=\"1544\" height=\"1543\"\/><source media=\"(min-width: 980px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/ftcms%3Ad1b46b67-a588-4a89-965f-d551d12852be?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=1200&amp;dpr=1 1x\" width=\"2266\" height=\"1511\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2F69e38953-7829-4e9c-b537-15382368ca01.jpg?source=next-article&amp;fit=scale-down&amp;quality=highest&amp;width=700&amp;dpr=1\" alt=\"Preston Manning \" data-image-type=\"image\" width=\"2266\" height=\"1511\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"n-content-picture__caption o3-editorial-typography-caption\"><span>Preston Manning, former leader of the opposition, says \u2018Alberta is a lot like Texas\u2019<\/span><span> <!-- -->\u00a9 Jason Franson\/FT<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Managing relations with Smith and her province at a time of heightened Canada-US tensions will be a political challenge for Carney\u2019s premiership.<\/p>\n<p>Preston Manning, an Alberta conservative grandee and former leader of the opposition in the federal parliament, said Alberta was naturally closer with the US. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cAlberta is a lot like Texas. We got oil, they\u2019ve got oil. We got ranches, they\u2019ve got ranches. The only thing is that Alberta gets along a lot better with the US,\u201d he joked.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, Manning said, while radicals were drawn to separatism or the 51st state idea, supporters of these ideas remained \u201ca very small minority\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/c4bf779b-66b2-4748-88bd-21f21d387042\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Roger Bablitz leans under the bonnet to fix his 1976 purple Chevrolet Stepside pick-up truck, while an American&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":32712,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-us","cs-entry","cs-video-wrap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32711","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32711"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32711\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/32712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/financialrush.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}